With all of the arguments here about how Obama is doomed due to polls, this new one is pretty important. It shows that even now with a divided Democratic party, Obama is pretty close to winning.
Take the MyDD map on the front page and flip VA. That gets Obama to 266. Obama would then just have to flip MI or OH or NH or NV or WI to have a victory. That seems quite feasible.
As for the difference in Obama's polling vs. Clinton's poll numbers, there's one problem in comparing them. The question assumes that Clinton already has the nomination, what I'm calling the magic wand theory. What it doesn't factor in is the way that Clinton would have to achieve it; it would be something ugly involving a convention floor fight and some rule committee votes.
I think there's a double skewing in the polls in that Obama will do better when (or if I suppose) he gets the nomination because the party will unite around the eventual nominee. Clinton, on the other hand, would actually do worse upon being selected because of the ugliness required. Anyway, hopefully this poll will start to calm some people down.
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