Carville calls it for Obama

Want evidence that this will not go on to the convention (well if you need any more), James Carville said that Obama is going to be the nominee most likely:


"I still hear some dogs barking," Carville said, according to The State newspaper. "I'm for Senator Clinton, but I think the great likelihood is that Obama will be the nominee."

"As soon as I determine when that is, I'll send him a check," he added.

If you're looking for signs that the Democrats will unite around Obama, Carville offering to cut a check is a strong one.  Hopefully, things will start to calm down soon.  



Display:


the hillary supporters will fall in line... (2.00 / 1)

it's those who vested their hopes and dreams in hillary who may have trouble.  and, yes, the two are not necessarily the same.  hillary's supporters will support whoever hillary supports.  but that doesn't define the total of those who voted for hillary...


"I believe he can win. If he runs a campaign anywhere like the terrific campaign he ran to get the nomination, he'll win handily." - Ed Rendell
by bored now on Tue May 13, 2008 at 10:53:57 AM EST

JUDAS (none / 0)

JuuuuuuuuuDaaaaaaaaaaS


by grass on Tue May 13, 2008 at 10:54:23 AM EST

Re: JUDAS (none / 0)

LOL!
the check thing is kind of refreshing, as the ragin' cajun had a little set to with Obama about cojones a week or so ago.  
by ReillyDiefenbach on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:24:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)

I think this and Krugman writing a very pro-Obama column about the gas tax are the two best signs I've seen the split in the Democratic party we feared isn't coming.

Not that Sen. clinton's exit from the race won't need to be handled gracefully, and that supporters on both side don't need to hold onto their tempers and be respectful, but this is a light at the end of the tunnel.


by werehippy on Tue May 13, 2008 at 10:54:36 AM EST

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)

Clinton supporters are lining up behind Obama. It may not seem that way on MyDD but Hillaryis44 and MyDD clinton supporters are like less than 1% of those who voted for her remember. Clinton supporters will vote Obama in the general no worries.
by Cheebs on Tue May 13, 2008 at 10:58:02 AM EST

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)

If you look at the amount of traffic all the anti-Obama sites get combined, it's still a fraction of somewhere like DailyKos'.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:00:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)

Huh.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Tue May 13, 2008 at 10:58:37 AM EST

Do I hear someone warming up to sing? (none / 0)

The skinny bald cajun is sounding a little bit like a fat lady.


by emptythreatsfarm on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:05:42 AM EST

To his credit... (none / 0)

... he did promise a good while ago to be "A loyal footsoldier in President Obama's army" or words to that effect if Obama should get the nomination.


"Mom, baseball, apple pie, and a unified Democratic juggernaut."
by Purplepeople on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:11:03 AM EST

Well good. (none / 0)

I still think he's a dangerously self-interested charlatan, but those are definitely the right words for all Democrats to be saying.


by McNasty on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:19:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

That he is... (none / 0)

... he is also a ruthless democratic partisan when all is said and done.


"Mom, baseball, apple pie, and a unified Democratic juggernaut."
by Purplepeople on Tue May 13, 2008 at 12:01:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re:Obama's fate is NOT with us (none / 0)

Obama's fate in November will NOT be determined by MYDD or Kos. The entire progressive net community is literally less than 1% of voters.

Its millions of voters, especially white working class voters across the country that will determine his fate.

Everyone in MYDD can debate, discuss, & convince each other to unite. And  I think we will.

But realistically speaking, Obama's chances of defeating McCain rests in the hands of millions of voters outside the blogs.

These are millions of voters that no one can win over except Obama. Hillary or Bill's endorsement will not be good enough.

The stage could not have been better for Obama.

Worse economy in decades.

Most unpopular President.

Very Unpopular War.

He has All the Advantages in the World to beat any Republican.

All these factors should make up for any racism from some voters.

If Obama plays his cards right, he will be our next President.


by libdemusa on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:22:45 AM EST

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)

I predict that when McCain becomes what he really is and shows his true character, Democrats who are true democrats will support Obama.


by Spanky on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:24:59 AM EST

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (1.00 / 1)

There's two main reasons why Obama most likely will be the nominee - THE MEDIA and a BROKERED ELECTION.

There's one main reason why Obama won't be the president - REV. WRIGHT


by soyousay on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:36:28 AM EST

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)

I really don't know what you mean by a brokered election.  There's a common term - a brokered convention - is that what you're talking about?


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:56:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Mount up Democrats (none / 0)

Yes the media that was all Wright all the time 24/7 for 3 weeks. They failed to take him down. Obama won plain and simple. Pledged delegates, popular vote, number of states, super delegates, money raised, superior organization.

McCain has an albatross around his neck that makes Rev. Wright seem like an minor irritation. He's called George Bush, remember him?

99% of voters will not remember or give a crap about the primary in 2 months. It will be ancient history. They will care about the price of gas, food and healthcare, they will be very aware of collapsing housing prices and a scary economic future thanks to GWB. They will still be waiting for the surge to bring 'victory' in Iraq. Will they want more of the same with Bush III?

Republicans are getting hammered in the reddest of red districts. The electorate has got the tar and feathers out and is ready to run the Republicans out of Dodge. Obama has the message, the organization, the political skills and a fired up electorate.

All the doom and gloom predictions we have been hearing about the Obama campaign collapsing any day now. They were totally and completely wrong. They are still predicting doom, still droning on about Wright and they will be just as wrong come November as they are today.


by hankg on Tue May 13, 2008 at 12:00:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Carville reiterates (none / 0)

You guys are so defensive. Of course Carville will cut a check for Obama if he wins the nomination, that was never in question. Just as Hillary Clinton has promised to campaign her heart out for the nominee. Most Hillary Clinton supporters, especially on-line, are Democrats first, we will support the nominee, even those of us you love to demonize.

Some of the voters Hillary Clinton has won are softer Democrats, demographically. Obama has been doing a lot to lose those voters to McCain.

And some on-line Hillary Clinton supporters, the ones you seem to be particularly attuned to, will oppose Obama.


by souvarine on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:37:05 AM EST

Re: Carville reiterates (2.00 / 1)

I thought the talking point was that Clinton was winning the real Democrats and Obama was winning through Independents.

...it's a long way to November.  Lots of things can happen to change the election one way or another.  Obama is definitely within striking distance at the end of a bruising primary while McCain has been resting.  The economy is sinking, people are sick of Iraq, and the wrong way numbers are huge.  We might not win, but I like our chances.


Beat McCain!
by thezzyzx on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:41:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Carville reiterates (none / 0)

Obama's base is African Americans, one of our coalition's most reliable blocks of voters. His margin of victory comes from new Democrats who used to identify as independents. Those independents have soft spots and he has slowly been losing them.

I had thought Obama would try to win the general by stealing some white evangelicals, but it is too easy for Republicans to get them back, especially after Rev. Wright. I don't know who he will go after now, other than AAs and young voters.

Obama has a real problem with swing voters: working class, largely Catholic, Hispanic and white voters. Those voters are very vulnerable to the populist appeal McCain has been projecting, which seems to be designed to address economic insecurity.


by souvarine on Tue May 13, 2008 at 12:07:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)

Well, it's nice to see Carville is living in the reality-based community. I wasn't so sure, for awhile there.


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:47:37 AM EST

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)

Another staunch Clinton supporter going against the Clinton grain. Looks like Carville shouldn't schedule any hunting trips with Bill in the immediate future. Scratch him off the Xmas card list also.


John McCain: Everyones nowhere man
by johnny sexton on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:47:57 AM EST

Meh (none / 0)

Carville's been a very tepid Clinton supporter from the start.  Frankly, he's been a rather tepid Democrat for years now.  He made his fortune and so he's not on fire anymore to change Washington. I think hanging around Matalin softened his brain, also.


by Montague on Tue May 13, 2008 at 11:54:32 AM EST

Obama beat the toughest candidate this cycle (none / 0)

John McCain does not have half the political skills of the Clinton tag team. Hillary raised more money then McCain, built a bigger organization then McCain, got more votes then McCain. The Democrat who finished second out-classed McCain by any and every measure. McCain besides being weaker then Hillary in every metric has 2 huge additional disadvantages. He's a Republican and he has GWB hung around his neck like a 100lb albatross.

Obama has already beat the strongest candidate this election cycle.


by hankg on Tue May 13, 2008 at 12:11:23 PM EST

Re: Carville calls it for Obama (none / 0)


"Beauty, more than bitterness, makes the heart break." Sara Teasdale
by april34fff on Thu May 15, 2008 at 01:11:28 PM EST


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