You guys are so defensive. Of course Carville will cut a check for Obama if he wins the nomination, that was never in question. Just as Hillary Clinton has promised to campaign her heart out for the nominee. Most Hillary Clinton supporters, especially on-line, are Democrats first, we will support the nominee, even those of us you love to demonize.
Some of the voters Hillary Clinton has won are softer Democrats, demographically. Obama has been doing a lot to lose those voters to McCain.
And some on-line Hillary Clinton supporters, the ones you seem to be particularly attuned to, will oppose Obama.
I thought the talking point was that Clinton was winning the real Democrats and Obama was winning through Independents.
...it's a long way to November. Lots of things can happen to change the election one way or another. Obama is definitely within striking distance at the end of a bruising primary while McCain has been resting. The economy is sinking, people are sick of Iraq, and the wrong way numbers are huge. We might not win, but I like our chances.
Obama's base is African Americans, one of our coalition's most reliable blocks of voters. His margin of victory comes from new Democrats who used to identify as independents. Those independents have soft spots and he has slowly been losing them.
I had thought Obama would try to win the general by stealing some white evangelicals, but it is too easy for Republicans to get them back, especially after Rev. Wright. I don't know who he will go after now, other than AAs and young voters.
Obama has a real problem with swing voters: working class, largely Catholic, Hispanic and white voters. Those voters are very vulnerable to the populist appeal McCain has been projecting, which seems to be designed to address economic insecurity.
