but she doesn't have to do any of these things as you are setting up some kind of false standard for her. The person who has to perform is Obama, because he can't "ride the wave" anymore. You know, he's going to have to make a convincing case regarding his electability, that his recent gaffes and associations are not going to hurt him in the general
Take a look at the EV map on this site. What does that tell you?
Like it or not, the supers get to consider the electibility in the GE. Right now it doesn't look so good for your guy. And the responsibility falls on Obama's shoulders, you cannot make this HRC's "fault". And you cannot say "this is changing the rules".
That there is not much movement of supers right now just indicates they're waiting too to see how this turns out. Prematurely annointing anyone now is not a winning strategy.
"Take a look at the EV map on this site. What does that tell you? "
Nothing because it's missing one fact. Right now, they're asking the question, "If Clinton were to be the nominee tomorrow, who would you vote for?" The problem is that doesn't address the fact that to make her the nominee without doing any of the steps I suggest above, she'd have to win a bloody convention fight that would piss off large swaths of the Democratic electorate. Moreover, right now the Republicans are ignoring her while both Clinton and McCain are piling up on Obama. Neither of those would be true in November.
Look at her lead in the polls in those states, the ones that give her this electoral college victory. They're narrow. Clinton has a 1 point lead in Florida, a 3 point lead in Ohio, a 3 point lead in Washington, a 1 point lead in Oregon, a 1 point lead in Missouri. Any movement at all towards McCain, any softening at all towards Clinton and she'd be in huge trouble in a general.
Using your logic: Clinton is still holding narrow leads inspite of so much primary hatred towards her and character assasination by Obama campaign. Once she becomes the nominee, many will fall in place because they are "large swaths of the Democratic electorate". Will Obama come out and campaign for her? That will take care of the "large swaths of the Democratic electorate".
Psychological projection (or projection bias) is a defense mechanism in which one attributes one's own unacceptable or unwanted thoughts or/and emotions to others. Projection reduces anxiety by allowing the expression of the unwanted subconscious impulses/desires without letting the conscious mind recognize them. The theory was developed by Sigmund Freud and further refined by his daughter Anna Freud, and for this reason, it is sometimes referred to as "Freudian Projection".
so the electoral maps created on MYDD are totally unbiased. Right?
Ha! Lots of cherry picking.
If you cannot see that Hillary is behind in this race with ground to make up, then yes this diary is full of flaws. But Obama is up by a decent amount of delegates, and the only way super delegates will vote en mass for her, is if she can convince some of Obama's support that she is the best candidate. If she can't, the super delegates are not going to risk mass chaos by overturning Obama'a pledge delegate lead. That's why this diary is correct in that Hillary must make up major ground in NC to show she can cut into Obama's base while making major gains in delegates in other primaries.
And unless the money continues to flow as was reported immediately after Pennsylvania, Clinton lacks the resources to make the kind of push in North Carolina that she needs in order to be competitive.
I'll tell you what the EV map on this site tells me. It tells me that Jerome is cherry-picking the numbers again.
He has Clinton winning MO while the pollster.com average has McCain winning 48.2-46.
He has Clinton winning IA while the pollster.com average has McCain winning 48.9-41.7.
He has Clinton winning FL while the pollster.com average has McCain winning 45.1-42.3.
He has Clinton winning WA while the pollster.com average has McCain winning 45.2-44.2.
He's not quite as bad with the Obama numbers but he's screwed up NV and NH. (Of course, you don't have to ask which way he screwed them up, do you?)
The one thing I have learned over the past couple of months is that Jerome isn't very good with math.
